Major League Soccer

Apr 28, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
2 - 1
Kansas

Boxall (2'), Oluwaseyi (25')
Padelford (31'), Boxall (63')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Pulido (37')
Fontas (23')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Sporting Kansas City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, April 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 3-3 St Louis City
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
46.29% ( -0.04)	24.05% ( 0.02)	29.66% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 58.69% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.6% (

-0.1)

43.4% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.2% (

-0.1)

65.8% (

0.1)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.07% (

-0.06)

18.92% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.57% (

-0.09)

50.43% (

0.09)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.4% (

-0.04)

27.6% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.87% (

-0.05)

63.13% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 46.29%

Sporting Kansas City 29.66%

Draw 24.05%

Minnesota United	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 46.29%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.05%	1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 29.66%