Major League Soccer

Apr 28, 2024 at 1.30am UK

First Tennessee Park

Nashville
1 - 1
Earthquakes

Williams (19')
Lovitz (4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Skahan (63')
Tsakiris (14'), Kikanovic (41'), Akapo (51'), Costa (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and San Jose Earthquakes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-3 Earthquakes
Monday, April 22 at 1.15am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
51.18% ( -0.05)	23.55% ( 0.09)	25.27% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 56.79% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.71% (

-0.45)

44.29% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.33% (

-0.44)

66.67% (

0.45)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.65% (

-0.19)

17.35% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.26% (

-0.33)

47.75% (

0.33)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.71% (

-0.27)

31.29% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.36% (

-0.32)

67.65% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 51.18%

San Jose Earthquakes 25.27%

Draw 23.54%

Nashville SC	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.84% Total : 51.18%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.54%	1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 25.27%