Major League Soccer

May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
0 - 3
Philadelphia

Porter (15'), Kessler (17'), Vrioni (66'), Arreaga (85')
Spaulding (14')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Carranza (38'), Gazdag (47', 80')
Harriel (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-2 New England
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 NY City
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: New England Revolution 1-3 Philadelphia Union

With two sides meeting in the midst of tough runs, something is bound to give on Saturday, and we see the Union being too strong for their struggling hosts, given their quality going forward which has been prevalent even throughout the rut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Philadelphia Union
40.61% ( 0.16)	24.52% ( -0.19)	34.87% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 59.23% (

0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.36% (

0.9)

43.64% (

-0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.97% (

0.88)

66.03% (

-0.88)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.46% (

0.47)

21.54% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.4% (

0.71)

54.6% (

-0.71)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49% (

0.44)

24.51% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.03% (

0.62)

58.97% (

-0.62)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 40.61%

Philadelphia Union 34.87%

Draw 24.51%

New England Revolution	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.61%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51%	1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.87%