Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Notts County |
40.36% | 26.62% | 33.01% |
Both teams to score 51.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.79% | 53.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.22% | 74.77% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.09% | 25.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.1% | 60.89% |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.73% | 30.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% | 66.44% |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Notts County |
1-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.37% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.84% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 2.04% Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |