National League | Gameweek 44

May 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Ten Acres

Eastleigh
1 - 2
Halifax

Pritchard (49')
Pritchard (45+4'), Miley (70')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Spence (39'), Warburton (43')
Spence (45+4'), Debrah (45+4'), Senior (64'), Warren (80'), Slew (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's National League clash between Eastleigh and Halifax Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

Last Six:

Last Game: Eastleigh 4-4 Grimsby Town
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Barnet	44	-30	50
19	Eastleigh	44	-22	46
20	Aldershot Town	44	-27	43

Halifax Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Halifax 1-2 Chesterfield
Tuesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in National League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Solihull Moors	44	38	87
4	Halifax Town	44	27	84
5	Notts County	44	29	82

We said: Eastleigh 0-1 Halifax Town

Halifax's patchy form on the road makes this a difficult proposition for the podium chasers on paper, and enforced changes will also work against both sides on Monday afternoon. That being said, there is little on the line for Eastleigh having been assured of their safety, and their recent defensive lapses could allow Wild's side to nick a vital win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.

Result
Eastleigh	Draw	Halifax Town
28.81%	25.38%	45.81%

Both teams to score 53.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.28%

49.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.27%

71.73%

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57%

31.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.2%

67.8%

Halifax Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.3%

21.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.14%

54.86%

Score Analysis

Eastleigh 28.81%

Halifax Town 45.8%

Draw 25.38%

Eastleigh	Draw	Halifax Town
1-0 @ 7.89% 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.81%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-2 @ 7.96% 1-3 @ 4.69% 0-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.8%