National League | Gameweek 44

May 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Meadow Lane

Notts County
1 - 0
Dover Athletic

Rodrigues (17')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's National League clash between Notts County and Dover Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dover Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Weymouth
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
21	King's Lynn Town	44	-32	34
22	Weymouth	44	-48	28
23	Dover Athletic	44	-64	1

101

We said: Notts County 3-0 Dover Athletic

After previously beating Dover 3-0 just last week, we are predicting a similar scoreline again on Monday to see County strengthen their grip on a playoff spot. Despite being defeated at the weekend, the home side are in strong form lately, whilst it is difficult to see where the next point will come from for a poor visiting Dover side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 86.8%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 4.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Dover Athletic
86.8%	8.66%	4.53%

Both teams to score 51.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.62%

20.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

61.34%

38.66%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.93%

3.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.25%

13.74%

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.49%

46.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.88%

82.11%

Score Analysis

Notts County 86.8%

Dover Athletic 4.53%

Draw 8.66%

Notts County	Draw	Dover Athletic
3-0 @ 10.08% 4-0 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 8.67% 3-1 @ 7.72% 4-1 @ 6.73% 2-1 @ 6.64% 5-0 @ 6.14% 1-0 @ 4.97% 5-1 @ 4.7% 6-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.96% 6-1 @ 2.73% 4-2 @ 2.58% 5-2 @ 1.8% 7-0 @ 1.78% 7-1 @ 1.36% 6-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 4.53% Total : 86.8%	1-1 @ 3.8% 2-2 @ 2.54% 0-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.89% Total : 8.66%	1-2 @ 1.46% 0-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.99% Total : 4.53%