Crusaders

3 - 2

Glenavon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.