Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.

Result
Newry City AFC	Draw	Coleraine
27.52% ( 2.6)	24.72% ( 0.71)	47.76% ( -3.31)

Both teams to score 54.93% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.33% (

-1.02)

47.67% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.13% (

-0.95)

69.87% (

0.95)

Newry City AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.68% (

1.53)

31.32% (

-1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.33% (

1.74)

67.67% (

-1.74)

Coleraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.98% (

-1.73)

20.02% (

1.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.79% (

-2.86)

52.21% (

2.86)

Score Analysis

Newry City AFC 27.52%

Coleraine 47.75%

Draw 24.71%

Newry City AFC	Draw	Coleraine
1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.52%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.71%	0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.56) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.42) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.56) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.29) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.34) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.86% Total : 47.75%