Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 0-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Korona Kielce
52.21% ( -0.41)	23.64% ( 0.27)	24.15% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 55.26% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.25% (

-1.04)

45.74% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.94% (

-0.99)

68.06% (

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.49% (

-0.53)

17.51% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.97% (

-0.94)

48.02% (

0.94)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67% (

-0.44)

33% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.41% (

-0.49)

69.59% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 52.21%

Korona Kielce 24.15%

Draw 23.64%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Korona Kielce
1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.73% Total : 52.21%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.64%	0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 24.15%