Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest Under-23s	Draw	Stoke City Under-23s
45.54%	23.42%	31.05%

Both teams to score 61.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.32%

39.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.96%

62.04%

Nottingham Forest Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.24%

17.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.55%

48.45%

Stoke City Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.13%

24.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.53%

59.47%

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest Under-23s 45.54%

Stoke City Under-23s 31.05%

Draw 23.41%

Nottingham Forest Under-23s	Draw	Stoke City Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.18% 1-0 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 6.6% 3-1 @ 5.29% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 3.68% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.85% Total : 45.54%	1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 4.42% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.41%	1-2 @ 7.39% 0-1 @ 6.15% 0-2 @ 4.28% 1-3 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.05%