Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 6

Sep 3, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 1
Man City

Bailey (74')
Cash (26'), Digne (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Braut Haaland (50')

Kyle Walker suffers injury in Manchester City's draw with Aston Villa

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola confirms that Kyle Walker suffered an injury in Saturday's 1-1 draw with Aston Villa in the Premier League.

Sep 3, 23:58

Aston Villa manager Steven Gerrard during the Premier League game with Manchester City on September 3, 2022.

Steven Gerrard: 'Aston Villa showed guts in Manchester City draw'

Steven Gerrard praises his Aston Villa side for showing "guts" during their comeback 1-1 draw against Manchester City in the Premier League.

Sep 3, 20:30

Aston Villa's Leon Bailey celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 3, 2022

Erling Haaland scores again but Manchester City drop points in Aston Villa draw

Erling Braut Haaland's 10th goal in just six Premier League games is not enough to hand Manchester City victory as Aston Villa hold on for a 1-1 draw at Villa Park.

Sep 3, 19:31

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

Last Six:

Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Wolverhampton Wanderers	5	-2	3
19	Aston Villa	5	-5	3
20	Leicester City	5	-5	1

Manchester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 6-0 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Arsenal	5	9	15
2	Manchester City	5	14	13
3	Tottenham Hotspur	5	6	11

We said: Aston Villa 0-3 Manchester City

Villa arguably should not have been in with a chance of stealing a point off of Arsenal in midweek, but credit where credit is due to some of their last-ditch defending efforts, and they did come out fighting in the second period. However, such small positives are unlikely to count for much against the rampant champions, who will seek to further increase the pressure on the under-fire Gerrard with a straightforward success on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 17.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.78%) and 0-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Manchester City
17.84% ( 2.69)	19.47% ( 0.84)	62.69% ( -3.53)

Both teams to score 59.96% (

3.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.99% (

1.28)

35.01% (

-1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43% (

1.41)

57% (

-1.41)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.15% (

3.95)

32.85% (

-3.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.58% (

4.17)

69.42% (

-4.17)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.29% (

-0.52)

10.71% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.36% (

-1.17)

34.64% (

1.17)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 17.84%

Manchester City 62.69%

Draw 19.47%

Aston Villa	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.59) 1-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.38) Other @ 3.05% Total : 17.84%	1-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.55) 0-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.26) Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.47%	1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.78% ( -1) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.7) 1-3 @ 7.28% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 6.54% ( -0.91) 1-4 @ 4.06% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.33) 0-4 @ 3.65% ( -0.6) 2-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.14) 1-5 @ 1.82% ( -0.12) 0-5 @ 1.63% ( -0.31) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.97% Total : 62.69%