Aston Villa

3 - 1

Man Utd

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.