Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 22, 2022 at 4pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 2
Newcastle

Cornet (69')
Tarkowski (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wilson (20' pen., 60')

Burnley relegated from the Premier League

Burnley are relegated from the Premier League following their 2-1 defeat at home to Newcastle United on the final day of the season on Sunday.

May 22, 17:59

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Leeds United	38	-37	38
18	Burnley	38	-19	35
19	Watford	38	-43	23

Newcastle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Wolverhampton Wanderers	38	-5	51
11	Newcastle United	38	-18	49
12	Crystal Palace	38	4	48

We said: Burnley 1-0 Newcastle United

At any other stage of the season it might be difficult to back a Burnley win here, but the result is so much more important to the hosts than it is to Newcastle, and that could make the difference in a game of fine margins. Burnley are also in good form at home, whereas Newcastle's away form has been poor of late, so we are backing the home side to pick up the win they need to stay in the Premier League for another season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Newcastle United
43.47% ( -0.1)	25.55% ( 0.02)	30.98% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 54.36% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.6% (

-0.07)

49.4% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.56% (

-0.07)

71.44% (

0.07)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.35% (

-0.08)

22.65% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.72% (

-0.12)

56.28% (

0.12)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.28% (

0.02)

29.72% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.22% (

0.02)

65.78% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Burnley 43.47%

Newcastle United 30.98%

Draw 25.54%

Burnley	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.47%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 30.98%