Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 16

Dec 12, 2021 at 4.30pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
3 - 1
Everton

Gallagher (41', 90+3'), Tomkins (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rondon (70')
Doucoure (72'), Gray (76')

Rafael Benitez defends Richarlison substitution after Everton boos

Everton boss Rafael Benitez defends his decision to substitute Richarlison against Crystal Palace despite boos from the fans.

Dec 13, 22:33

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Crystal Palace 1-1 Everton

Both teams have reached a point in their season where a couple of wins here and there can keep them out of a relegation battle. With that in mind, however, avoiding defeat may be regarded as more important, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Everton had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Everton
40.55%	28.6%	30.85%

Both teams to score 45.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.95%

61.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.97%

81.03%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.48%

29.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.47%

65.53%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.14%

35.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.36%

72.64%

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 40.55%

Everton 30.85%

Draw 28.59%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Everton
1-0 @ 12.91% 2-1 @ 8.08% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.52% Total : 40.55%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.59%	0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2% Total : 30.85%