Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 1

Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
2 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Schar (58'), Wilson (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Worrall (15'), Williams (23'), O'Brien (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Manchester United	0	0	0
14	Newcastle United	0	0	0
15	Nottingham Forest	0	0	0

Nottingham Forest

Last Six:

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, July 30 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Newcastle United	0	0	0
15	Nottingham Forest	0	0	0
16	Southampton	0	0	0

We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Nottingham Forest

Given the standard of players that have been signed by Forest, it would be naive to rule out the visitors from causing a surprise in the North East. However, despite Forest likely to have a spring in their step, Newcastle's greater quality and experience should shine through come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Nottingham Forest
45.01% ( -0.09)	28.24% ( 0.02)	26.74% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 44.1% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.59% (

-0.05)

61.41% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.7% (

-0.04)

81.3% (

0.04)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.74% (

-0.07)

27.26% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.31% (

-0.09)

62.69% (

0.09)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.63% (

0.03)

39.37% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.93% (

0.03)

76.06% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 45.01%

Nottingham Forest 26.74%

Draw 28.23%

Newcastle United	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 45.01%	1-1 @ 13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.23%	0-1 @ 10% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.45% Total : 26.74%