Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Bournemouth |
40.97% ( -0.76) | 26.82% ( 0.18) | 32.21% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 50.82% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.82% ( -0.53) | 54.18% ( 0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.41% ( -0.44) | 75.59% ( 0.44) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.97% ( -0.64) | 26.03% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.94% ( -0.87) | 61.06% ( 0.87) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.7% ( 0.13) | 31.29% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.35% ( 0.15) | 67.65% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Bournemouth |
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.97% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |