Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 8

Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 0
Leeds

Broja (53')
Bednarek (75'), McCarthy (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Roberts (47'), Struijk (58'), Llorente (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Leeds United
30.51%	28.15%	41.33%

Both teams to score 46.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.39%

59.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.06%

79.94%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.66%

35.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.9%

72.1%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.62%

28.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.88%

64.12%

Score Analysis

Southampton 30.51%

Leeds United 41.33%

Draw 28.14%

Southampton	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 6.83% 2-0 @ 5.43% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.51%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.14%	0-1 @ 12.63% 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 7.96% 1-3 @ 3.47% 0-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.7% Total : 41.33%