Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 3, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
0 - 0
Gil Vicente

Neto (45+2')

Tiba (34'), Pereira (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-2 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 24 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Porto
Sunday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Casa Pia 1-0 Gil Vicente

The appointment of Santos has turned Casa Pia's fortunes around for the better and they will head into the weekend with renewed confidence. Despite their impressive display against Porto, Gil Vicente have struggled for consistency in recent weeks and we are tipping Casa Pia to come away with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Gil Vicente
35.02% ( 0.66)	27.29% ( 0.25)	37.7% ( -0.91)

Both teams to score 49.94% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.44% (

-0.9)

55.56% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.27% (

-0.74)

76.73% (

0.74)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.86% (

-0.02)

30.14% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.71% (

-0.02)

66.29% (

0.03)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.49% (

-0.95)

28.51% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.71% (

-1.21)

64.29% (

1.21)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 35.01%

Gil Vicente 37.69%

Draw 27.29%

Casa Pia	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.01%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.7% Total : 37.69%