Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 21, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio da Capital do Móvel

Pacos de Ferreira
3 - 1
Rio Ave

Thomas (1'), Aderlan (48' og.), Guedes (85' pen.)
Holsgrove (50'), Pires (90'), Ribeiro (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Patrick (3')
Pantalon (42'), Pereira (79'), Costinha (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, May 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 1-0 Rio Ave

Looking at past results between the sides, we anticipate a cagey affair at the Estadio Capital do Movel. Rio Ave have struggled for results away from home, where they have managed just two wins in the league this season, and we predict that Pacos de Ferreira will come away with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 25.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Rio Ave
25.71% ( 0.29)	25.72% ( 0.03)	48.57% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 50.32% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.99% (

0.1)

53.01% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.39% (

0.08)

74.6% (

-0.09)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.38% (

0.3)

35.62% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.61% (

0.31)

72.39% (

-0.31)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16% (

-0.1)

21.84% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93% (

-0.15)

55.07% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 25.71%

Rio Ave 48.57%

Draw 25.71%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 25.71%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.57%