Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Vizela |
34.29% ( -1.47) | 27.28% ( 0) | 38.43% ( 1.47) |
Both teams to score 49.88% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.4% ( -0.12) | 55.6% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.23% ( -0.1) | 76.77% ( 0.1) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.37% ( -0.99) | 30.63% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.13% ( -1.19) | 66.87% ( 1.19) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.9% ( 0.81) | 28.1% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.23% ( 1.02) | 63.77% ( -1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.29% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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