Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Jan 15, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Do Dragão

Porto
4 - 1
Famalicao

Galeno (10', 21'), Otavio (42'), Taremi (48')
Galeno (36'), Wendell (44'), Marcano (55')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Fonte (52')
Junior (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 4-0 Arouca
Wednesday, January 11 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Leixoes 1-2 Famalicao
Tuesday, January 10 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Porto and Famalicao head into the weekend in superb form and we anticipate a thrilling contest between the two in-form sides. While we expect Famalicao to put up a fight, the Dragoes boast a superior and more experienced squad and we are backing them to extend their winning streak in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 8.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.73%) and 3-0 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Famalicao
75.01% ( -0.44)	16.25% ( 0.26)	8.74% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 43.49% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.44% (

-0.65)

42.55% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.04% (

-0.65)

64.95% (

0.65)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.29% (

-0.27)

9.7% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.65% (

-0.63)

32.34% (

0.63)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.16% (

-0.04)

51.83% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.1% (

-0.02)

85.89% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Porto 75%

Famalicao 8.74%

Draw 16.25%

Porto	Draw	Famalicao
2-0 @ 13.68% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.12% Total : 75%	1-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 16.25%	0-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.81% Total : 8.74%