Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 20, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio de São Miguel

Santa Clara
1 - 0
Portimonense

Andrezinho (27')
Nogueira (14'), Silva (50')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Conceicao (24'), Klismahn (45+2'), Seck (73'), Gomes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 5-3 Santa Clara
Sunday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 1-5 Benfica
Saturday, May 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Santa Clara 1-2 Portimonense

Santa Clara have thrown caution to the win in recent games with mixed results, and it will be the same case here. However, with the pressure off the visitors, we feel that they may stifle their hosts and take advantage on the counter, eventually prevailing by a narrow scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 46.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Portimonense
46.53% ( -1.09)	27.16% ( 0.37)	26.31% ( 0.72)

Both teams to score 46.68% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.03% (

-0.86)

57.97% (

0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.33% (

-0.68)

78.67% (

0.68)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.08% (

-0.9)

24.92% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.45% (

-1.27)

59.55% (

1.27)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.18% (

0.15)

37.82% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.41% (

0.15)

74.59% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 46.52%

Portimonense 26.31%

Draw 27.16%

Santa Clara	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.52%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 26.31%