Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 16, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 1
Arouca

Goncalves (87' pen.)
Amorim (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Antony (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Maritimo
Saturday, April 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Arouca

Following Wednesday's narrow defeat, Sporting Lisbon will be looking to restore some pride and bounce back in time for the next week's return leg. Amorim's side have been near impenetrable at home in the league, and while we expect the visitors to put up a fight, we are backing them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.54%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Arouca
77.79% ( 0.91)	14.2% ( -0.38)	8.02% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 47.86% (

-1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.91% (

-0.01)

35.09% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.91% (

-0.02)

57.09% (

0.03)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.7% (

0.19)

7.31% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.58% (

0.48)

26.42% (

-0.47)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.64% (

-1.22)

48.37% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.5% (

-0.9)

83.5% (

0.91)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 77.77%

Arouca 8.02%

Draw 14.2%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Arouca
2-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.09) 6-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 77.77%	1-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.76% Total : 14.2%	0-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.08% Total : 8.02%