Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 10, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estadio D Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
0 - 1
Porto

Estupinan (12'), Janvier (73'), Esteves (88'), Duarte (90+8'), Rochinha (90+8')
Estupinan (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Taremi (36' pen.)
Otavio (30'), Costa (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Porto	34	64	91
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 0-3 Porto

Vitoria de Guimaraes have enjoyed a fine spell in recent weeks, claiming three wins from their most recent four games. However, they are faced with the daunting task of squaring up against a rampant Porto side who have so far proven to be unbeatable. Porto have won each of the last six meetings between the teams and we predict they will extend this streak on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 60.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 0-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 2-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Porto
19.23%	19.93%	60.84%

Both teams to score 61.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.15%

34.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.18%

56.83%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.67%

31.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.31%

67.7%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.86%

11.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.41%

35.59%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 19.23%

Porto 60.84%

Draw 19.93%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Porto
2-1 @ 5.16% 1-0 @ 4.05% 2-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-1 @ 2% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.58% Total : 19.23%	1-1 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 5.66% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.93%	1-2 @ 9.76% 0-2 @ 8.41% 0-1 @ 7.66% 1-3 @ 7.14% 0-3 @ 6.15% 2-3 @ 4.14% 1-4 @ 3.92% 0-4 @ 3.37% 2-4 @ 2.27% 1-5 @ 1.72% 0-5 @ 1.48% 2-5 @ 1% Other @ 3.83% Total : 60.84%