MX23RW : Wednesday, June 12 10:39:20| >> :600:1343765:1343765:
[monks data]
PSV
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 26, 2020 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
PAOK

PSV
3 - 2
PAOK

Gakpo (20'), Madueke (50'), Malen (53')
Dumfries (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Varela (4'), Tzolis (13')
Tsiggaras (8'), El Kaddouri (64'), Douglas (71'), Biseswar (90+4'), Varela (90+6')

Preview: PSV Eindhoven vs. PAOK - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between PSV Eindhoven and PAOK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

PSV Eindhoven play host to PAOK on Thursday night sitting two points adrift of their next opponents in Group E.

While the Dutch outfit require maximum points to edge closer to qualification for the last 32, they will be on the brink of Europa League elimination if they suffer another defeat to the Greek side.


Match preview

PAOK's Christos Tzolis celebrates with teammates after scoring against PSV Eindhoven on November 5, 2020© Reuters

With Roger Schmidt in charge, there was every expectation that PSV Eindhoven would be able to progress through to the knockout stages in relatively comfortable fashion.

However, the defeats to Granada and PAOK have left the Dutch side playing catch-up, and they realistically require all three points on Thursday evening to keep their fate in their own hands.

Achieving that target will be easier said than done after PAOK recorded a 4-1 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this month, scoring all of their goals during a 19-minute period after half time.

PSV have responded with four points from two games in Eredivisie action, but Schmidt would have been bitterly disappointed with how his team succumbed so tamely in Greece.

On the flipside, PAOK will only take confidence from how they dismantled a higher-profile side, a result which maintained their unbeaten record in the group.

Pablo Garcia's team are also unbeaten on the domestic scene, with their only defeats this season coming against FC Krasnodar in the Champions League playoffs.

PAOK have not always shown a ruthless streak during that run of games, but 12 goals have been scored in their four most recent matches.

Karol Swiderski is the man in form, contributing three goals during those encounters, but PAOK are also without a clean sheet from those contests.

PSV Eindhoven Europa League form: LWL
PSV Eindhoven form (all competitions): LWWLWD

PAOK Europa League form: DDW
PAOK form (all competitions): DDWWWW


Team News

Donyell Malen celebrates scoring for the Netherlands on September 6, 2019© Reuters

Despite playing 90 minutes for club and country over the past week, Donyell Malen is expected to feature in the PSV attack.

Denzel Dumfries is in line to return at right-back, while Mohamed Ihattaren and Noni Madueke are competing for a spot on the left flank.

Mario Gotze was ill at the weekend, but the German playmaker may return to the squad for this game.

Garcia could revert back to the PAOK team which performed so well in the last fixture between the sides.

That would see Omar El Kaddouri, Diego Biseswar and Antonio Mirko-Colak return to the first XI after beginning the game against PAS Giannina on the substitutes' bench.

PSV Eindhoven possible starting lineup:
Mvogo; Dumfries, Teze, Boscagli, Max; Gakpo, Rosario, Sangare, Ihattaren; Zahavi, Malen

PAOK possible starting lineup:
Zivkovic; Soares, Varela, Crespo, Giannoulis; Schwab, Kaddouri, Douglas; Zivkovic, Colak, Biseswar


SM words green background

We say: PSV Eindhoven 2-1 PAOK

Falling at the group stages of this competition would be regarded as a disaster for PSV, but the higher stakes may bring out an improved performance from this group of players. PAOK could get caught between looking to avoid defeat and pushing for a pivotal three points, leaving us to predict a narrow win for the home team.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Thursday's Europa League clash between PSV Eindhoven and PAOK?

PSV Eindhoven
61.6%
Draw
14.2%
PAOK
24.1%
232
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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