Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Mu'aidar win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Mu'aidar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.28%) and 1-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Al Mu'aidar	Draw	Al Ahli
42.92% ( 5.47)	21.87% ( 0.04)	35.21% ( -5.51)

Both teams to score 69.4% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.56% (

-0.64)

30.43% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.29% (

-0.76)

51.71% (

0.77)

Al Mu'aidar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.9% (

1.89)

15.09% (

-1.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.36% (

3.46)

43.63% (

-3.45)

Al Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73% (

-2.6)

18.26% (

2.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.68% (

-4.62)

49.31% (

4.62)

Score Analysis

Al Mu'aidar 42.92%

Al Ahli 35.21%

Draw 21.87%

Al Mu'aidar	Draw	Al Ahli
2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.63) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.7) 1-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.75) 3-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.64) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.47) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.37) 4-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.22) Other @ 3.29% Total : 42.92%	1-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.87%	1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.57) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.74) 2-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.59) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.57) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.51) 2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.34) 3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.35) Other @ 2.86% Total : 35.21%