Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Borough Briggs

Elgin
1 - 0
Dundee Utd Res.

Hester (61')
Dolzanski (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Duffy (69')

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Elgin City and Dundee United Reserves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee United Reserves

Last Six:

Last Game: Stenhousemuir 3-0 Dundee Utd Res.
Tuesday, August 10 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Dundee United Reserves had a probability of 17.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Dundee United Reserves win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.

Result
Elgin City	Draw	Dundee United Reserves
62.01% ( -0.09)	20.44% ( 0.02)	17.55% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 55.77% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.83% (

0.05)

40.17% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.46% (

0.05)

62.54% (

-0.05)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.56% (

-0.01)

12.44% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.63% (

-0.02)

38.37% (

0.02)

Dundee United Reserves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.69% (

0.11)

36.3% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.91% (

0.11)

73.09% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Elgin City 62.01%

Dundee United Reserves 17.55%

Draw 20.44%

Elgin City	Draw	Dundee United Reserves
2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.68% Total : 62.01%	1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.44%	1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 17.55%