Zenit

1 - 0

Orenburg

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 72.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 10.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 3-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.