Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-0 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Dundee United |
22.36% ( -0.03) | 24.04% ( -0.06) | 53.6% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 51.82% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.74% ( 0.2) | 49.26% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.68% ( 0.18) | 71.32% ( -0.18) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.44% ( 0.08) | 36.56% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.65% ( 0.08) | 73.35% ( -0.08) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.69% ( 0.11) | 18.31% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.61% ( 0.18) | 49.39% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Dundee United |
1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 22.36% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.5% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 53.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
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