Scottish Cup | Fifth Round

Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK

Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

Inverness
1 - 3
Hibernian

Doran (90+5')
Carragher (28')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maolida (55'), Boyle (79'), Youan (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Inverness 0-1 Queen's Park
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hibernian

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Hibernian 1-2 Celtic
Wednesday, February 7 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Inverness Caledonian Thistle 1-2 Hibernian

The hosts might have thrived in this competition last season, but they will still be the underdogs heading into this game, and it is Hibernian that will be expected to progress. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Hibernian
33.62% ( 0.27)	25.98% ( -0.04)	40.4% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 53.89% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.57% (

0.24)

50.43% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.64% (

0.21)

72.36% (

-0.21)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.5% (

0.29)

28.5% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.72% (

0.36)

64.27% (

-0.36)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.38% (

-0.01)

24.62% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.87% (

-0.01)

59.13% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 33.62%

Hibernian 40.4%

Draw 25.97%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Hibernian
1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.62%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 40.4%