Scottish Cup | Semi-Finals

Apr 30, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Hampden Park, Glasgow

Rangers
0 - 1
Celtic

Barisic (27'), Cantwell (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jota (42')
Maeda (81'), McGregor (88')

Celtic edge past Old Firm rivals Rangers to reach Scottish Cup final

Celtic progress to the Scottish Cup final courtesy of a slender 1-0 semi-final win over Old Firm rivals and holders Rangers at Hampden Park on Sunday.

Apr 30, 17:48

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Cup clash between Rangers and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rangers

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Rangers
Sunday, April 23 at 4.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celtic

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Celtic 1-1 Motherwell
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

103

Top scorers

Of course, Rangers invariably rise to the occasion when they come up against Celtic, but the Bhoys have been operating on a different level to their Old Firm rivals in recent times. Boasting a 13-point lead at the summit of the Premiership table, Celtic are expected to flex their muscles and reach a fifth Scottish Cup final in seven seasons. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 37.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Rangers win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
Rangers	Draw	Celtic
37.94% ( 0.02)	23.69% ( 0.01)	38.36% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 62.67% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.68% (

-0.04)

39.32% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.34% (

-0.04)

61.66% (

0.04)

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.06% (

-0.01)

20.94% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.32% (

-0.01)

53.67% (

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.26% (

-0.03)

20.73% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.64% (

-0.05)

53.36% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Rangers 37.95%

Celtic 38.36%

Draw 23.69%

Rangers	Draw	Celtic
2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.95%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.69%	1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 38.36%