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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Hearts logo

Motherwell
1 - 2
Hearts

Spittal (78' pen.)
Paton (40'), Slattery (62'), Butcher (79'), Gent (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shankland (27', 71')
Sibbick (86'), Baningime (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 2-2 Motherwell
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-3 Rangers
Sunday, November 5 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Motherwell 0-2 Hearts

Motherwell might be the home team this weekend, but they will walk into the game as the underdogs due to the difficult form they are in right now. The visitors will be hoping to get straight back to winning ways themselves, and they will likely see this as the ideal match to do so. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawHearts
40.87% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 25.85% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 33.28% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.04% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)49.96% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)71.94% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)24.18% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)58.5% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.48% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)64.26% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 40.87%
    Hearts 33.28%
    Draw 25.84%
MotherwellDrawHearts
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.87%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.28%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Hearts

Motherwell
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Hearts
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Hearts
0-1
Motherwell

Devlin (71')
Slattery (29')
McGinn (36'), Casey (71'), Shaw (90')
McGinn (69')
Feb 19, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 26
Motherwell
2-0
Hearts
Obika (40'), Spittal (46')
Nov 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Hearts
3-2
Motherwell
Halliday (45', 47'), Shankland (89' pen.)
Moult (61' pen.), Spittal (79')
Sep 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Motherwell
0-3
Hearts
Shankland (17'), Forrest (50', 90')
May 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Motherwell
2-1
Hearts
Efford (3'), Lamie (56')
Slattery (50')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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