Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28

Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Ibrox Stadium

Rangers
3 - 1
Kilmarnock

Goldson (6'), Sakala (25'), Tavernier (45' pen.)
Jack (54')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Dorsett (60')
McKenzie (62'), Wright (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Rangers and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rangers

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Rangers 1-2 Celtic
Sunday, February 26 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Motherwell
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rangers 3-0 Kilmarnock

McInnes was insistent that his side are "good enough" to beat Rangers at Ibrox but there is little reason to share his optimism, especially given Kilmarnock's ruinous away form and the sense of disappointment bubbling away in the Gers camp. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 79.7%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 7.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.76%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
Rangers	Draw	Kilmarnock
79.7% ( -0.22)	13.09% ( 0.11)	7.2% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 48.15% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.43% (

-0.14)

32.57% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.77% (

-0.16)

54.22% (

0.15)

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.61% (

-0.07)

6.38% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.05% (

-0.2)

23.94% (

0.19)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.44% (

0.18)

48.56% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.36% (

0.13)

83.64% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Rangers 79.7%

Kilmarnock 7.21%

Draw 13.09%

Rangers	Draw	Kilmarnock
2-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.77% ( 0) 4-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 79.7%	1-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.77% Total : 13.09%	0-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 7.21%