Elche

2 - 1

Sporting Gijon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 47.28%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.