Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Oct 3, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia

Atalanta
2 - 3
AC Milan

Zapata (86' pen.), Pasalic (90+4')
de Roon (40')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Calabria (1'), Tonali (43'), Leao (78')
Diaz (42'), Tomori (52'), Messias (85'), Leao (88'), Pioli (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	AC Milan
47.87%	25.11%	27.02%

Both teams to score 53.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.35%

49.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.33%

71.67%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.24%

20.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.6%

53.4%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.25%

32.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.69%

69.31%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 47.87%

AC Milan 27.02%

Draw 25.11%

Atalanta BC	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.4% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.87%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 7.59% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.24% 1-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.53% Total : 27.02%