Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Dec 5, 2021 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 3
Fiorentina

Barrow (42'), Hickey (83')
Dominguez (24'), Theate (50'), Soumaoro (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Maleh (33'), Biraghi (51'), Vlahovic (67' pen.)
Torreira (25'), Milenkovic (64'), Amrabat (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bologna 1-1 Fiorentina

While Fiorentina cannot stop scoring on home soil, they have netted just once during their last four away matches, so a solid Bologna side should probably have the edge in Sunday's early kickoff. However, logic dictates that the Viola must eventually record a first draw of the season, and it could come at Dall'Ara this week, thanks to an attacking triumvirate which will cause problems for their hosts' back three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Fiorentina
46.62%	24.92%	28.46%

Both teams to score 54.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.06%

47.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.89%

70.11%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.39%

20.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.84%

53.15%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.24%

30.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.98%

67.02%

Score Analysis

Bologna 46.62%

Fiorentina 28.46%

Draw 24.91%

Bologna	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.62%	1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.34% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 7.47% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 3% Total : 28.46%