Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.14%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 15.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Napoli |
15.85% | 20% | 64.14% |
Both teams to score 53.53% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.69% | 41.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.29% | 63.71% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.96% | 39.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.24% | 75.76% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.81% | 12.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.16% | 37.84% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 4.48% 2-1 @ 4.43% 2-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.46% 3-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.99% Total : 15.86% | 1-1 @ 9.42% 0-0 @ 4.76% 2-2 @ 4.66% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20% | 0-2 @ 10.53% 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 7.4% 1-3 @ 6.96% 0-4 @ 3.89% 1-4 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 1.72% 0-5 @ 1.64% 1-5 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.6% Total : 64.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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