Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Jan 9, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
1 - 5
Sassuolo

Henderson (16')
Viti (60')
Viti (60')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Berardi (13' pen.), Raspadori (24', 71'), Scamacca (67', 90+2')
Berardi (49'), Kiriakopoulos (69'), Lopez (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

These two sides appear very evenly matched heading into this encounter, demonstrated by their positions in the table and form in their previous matches too. With both teams leaky in defence but clinical in front of goal as well, this one could be an entertaining clash with plenty of goals, so we are predicting a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.49%) and 3-1 (5.01%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Sassuolo
41.12%	22.28%	36.6%

Both teams to score 68.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.75%

32.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.14%

53.85%

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.48%

16.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.73%

46.27%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.56%

18.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.38%

49.61%

Score Analysis

Empoli 41.12%

Sassuolo 36.6%

Draw 22.28%

Empoli	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 8.35% 1-0 @ 5.49% 3-1 @ 5.01% 2-0 @ 4.94% 3-2 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.56% Total : 41.12%	1-1 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 7.06% 0-0 @ 3.05% 3-3 @ 2.39% Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.28%	1-2 @ 7.84% 0-1 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 4.42% 0-2 @ 4.35% 2-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.87% 2-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.04% 3-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.6%