Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

Jul 19, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
2 - 1
Lecce

Sanabria (7'), Gabriel (81' og.)
Lerager (15'), Romero (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mancosu (60')
Petriccione (35'), Saponara (44'), Lucioni (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A encounter between Genoa and Lecce, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Genoa in this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Lecce
50.69%	23.69%	25.61%

Both teams to score 56.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.36%

44.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33%

67.01%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.33%

17.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.71%

48.29%

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.8%

31.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.46%

67.54%

Score Analysis

Genoa 50.7%

Lecce 25.61%

Draw 23.69%

Genoa	Draw	Lecce
2-1 @ 9.65% 1-0 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 5.57% 3-0 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.71% Total : 50.7%	1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.69%	1-2 @ 6.48% 0-1 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.82% Total : 25.61%