Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
1 - 2
Inter Milan

Ceesay (48')
Baschirotto (32'), Blin (82'), Colombo (87'), Hjulmand (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lukaku (2'), Dumfries (90+4')
Brozovic (55'), Darmian (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

Last Six:

Last Game: Lecce 2-3 Cittadella
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Lazio	0	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0	0
12	Monza	0	0	0

Inter Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-4 Villarreal
Saturday, August 6 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Hellas Verona	0	0	0
8	Inter Milan	0	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0	0

We said: Lecce 1-3 Inter Milan

Inter were clearly in good shape going forward during pre-season, but also showed signs of defensive vulnerability, so victory at Via del Mare should not be taken for granted. Though they may not keep a clean sheet, the Nerazzurri will still win on the opening night of their 2022-23 season, thanks to their abundant resources in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Inter Milan
23.41% ( 0.04)	23% ( 0.02)	53.59% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 56.52% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.34% (

-0.06)

43.66% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.95% (

-0.05)

66.05% (

0.05)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.49% (

32.51% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.96% (

0.01)

69.03% (

-0.01)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.75% (

-0.04)

16.25% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.22% (

-0.08)

45.78% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Lecce 23.41%

Inter Milan 53.59%

Draw 22.99%

Lecce	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 23.41%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.72% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 53.59%