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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 11, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Atalanta logo

Napoli
2 - 0
Atalanta

Kvaratskhelia (60'), Rrahmani (77')
Osimhen (18')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruggeri (15'), Scalvini (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Lazio
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Atalanta BC

Only one of the last 15 Serie A encounters between Napoli and Atalanta has been drawn, and that trend can continue this week as the hosts get back on track after a rare taste of defeat. Their fearsome front line cannot be denied for another 90 minutes, while their visitors have suddenly run short of goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
NapoliDrawAtalanta BC
60.37% (0.57100000000001 0.57) 20.83% (-0.087 -0.09) 18.8% (-0.485 -0.48)
Both teams to score 56.9% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.14% (-0.362 -0.36)39.85% (0.364 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.79% (-0.377 -0.38)62.21% (0.38 0.38)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.19% (0.051000000000002 0.05)12.81% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.86% (0.10599999999999 0.11)39.13% (-0.104 -0.1)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (-0.718 -0.72)34.74% (0.72 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53% (-0.764 -0.76)71.47% (0.767 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 60.37%
    Atalanta BC 18.8%
    Draw 20.83%
NapoliDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.194 0.19)
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.145 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.31% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.36% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 60.37%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.075 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 18.8%

How you voted: Napoli vs Atalanta

Napoli
87.1%
Draw
8.9%
Atalanta BC
4.0%
101
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 5pm
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (19' pen.)
Demiral (36')
Osimhen (23'), Elmas (35')
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Atalanta
1-3
Napoli
De Roon (58')
Luis Palomino (35'), de Roon (86')
Insigne (14' pen.), Politano (37'), Elmas (81')
Jesus (67'), Ospina (76'), Zambo Anguissa (85')
Dec 4, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
2-3
Atalanta
Zielinski (40'), Mertens (47')
Rrahmani (58'), Malcuit (64')
Malinovskyi (7'), Demiral (66'), Freuler (71')
Malinovskyi (17'), Pasalic (82'), Djimsiti (87')
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Atalanta
4-2
Napoli
Zapata (52'), Gosens (64'), Muriel (71'), Romero (79')
Djimsiti (55'), Gosens (87')
Piero Gasperini (26')
Zielinski (58'), Gosens (76' og.)
Di Lorenzo (6')
Feb 10, 2021 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Atalanta
3-1
Napoli
Zapata (10'), Pessina (16', 78')
Luis Palomino (7')
Lozano (53')
Hysaj (25'), Zielinski (57'), Di Lorenzo (75'), Insigne (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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