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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Monza

Napoli
4 - 0
Monza

Kvaratskhelia (35', 62'), Osimhen (45+2'), Min-jae (90+3')
Rui (59'), Di Lorenzo (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Caprari (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Torino
Saturday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Monza

Already with an abundance of goalscoring options from almost anywhere around the XI, Napoli have strengthened again this week, and should have too much firepower for Monza to handle. The visitors have been handed a tough start to Serie A life, and are not yet in the kind of shape that could see them upset the established order. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 17.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawMonza
60.95% (0.5 0.5) 21.59% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 17.47% (-0.451 -0.45)
Both teams to score 51.72% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.54% (-0.53 -0.53)45.46% (0.532 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.21% (-0.508 -0.51)67.79% (0.509 0.51)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.56% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)14.43% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.62% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)42.37% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.44% (-0.843 -0.84)39.56% (0.845 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.75% (-0.794 -0.79)76.25% (0.795 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 60.94%
    Monza 17.47%
    Draw 21.59%
NapoliDrawMonza
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 10.69% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.9% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.34% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.025 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 60.94%
1-1 @ 10.25%
0-0 @ 5.71% (0.129 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.59%
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.75% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.47% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 17.47%

How you voted: Napoli vs Monza

Napoli
88.6%
Draw
3.5%
Monza
7.9%
114
rhs 2.0
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Group A

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