Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 10, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
2 - 1
Salernitana

Perez (82'), Smalling (85')
Kumbulla (21'), Cristante (54'), Mkhitaryan (80'), Abraham (90'), Patricio (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Radovanovic (22')
Bohinen (13'), Djuric (30'), Gyomber (41'), Ribery (67'), Sepe (71'), Kastanos (75'), Zortea (81'), Radovanovic (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62

Salernitana

Last Six:

Last Game: Salernitana 0-4 Udinese
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Spezia	38	-30	36
17	Salernitana	38	-45	31
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30

Roma will expect to add another shut-out to their growing total, as they welcome a side with little cutting edge in attack. Should they preserve their clean sheet, the Giallorossi are bound to strike at some stage given Salernitana's brittle back three, and they now possess the discipline to see out the game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 80.35%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 5.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.53%) and 1-0 (12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Salernitana
80.35%	13.7%	5.94%

Both teams to score 38.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.52%

41.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.11%

63.88%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.82%

8.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.33%

28.66%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.41%

58.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.09%

89.91%

Score Analysis

Roma 80.34%

Salernitana 5.94%

Draw 13.7%

Roma	Draw	Salernitana
2-0 @ 15.02% 3-0 @ 12.53% 1-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 8.03% 4-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 6.7% 4-1 @ 4.2% 5-0 @ 3.93% 5-1 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 1.79% 6-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.43% Total : 80.34%	1-1 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.79% 2-2 @ 2.15% Other @ 0.35% Total : 13.7%	0-1 @ 2.56% 1-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 1.67% Total : 5.94%