Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 1
Torino

Matic (90+4')
Camara (53'), Dybala (86'), Tahirovic (89')
Mourinho (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Linetty (55')
Buongiorno (48'), Lazaro (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Roma
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Torino

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 2-0 Sampdoria
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

The last Serie A draw between Roma and Torino was almost seven years ago, but a low-scoring stalemate could be on the cards this week, as both sides have found the net at a rate barely over one-goal-per-game so far. The Giallorossi have lacked invention since Dybala's departure for the treatment room, so their final Stadio Olimpico appearance of 2022 may prove to be something of a damp squib. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Torino had a probability of 18.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Torino
58.71% ( -0.21)	23.25% ( 0.02)	18.04% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 47.69% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.59% (

0.21)

51.4% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.78% (

0.18)

73.22% (

-0.19)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78% (

-0)

17.22% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.49% (

47.51% (

-0)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.61% (

0.35)

42.39% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.23% (

0.3)

78.77% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Roma 58.7%

Torino 18.04%

Draw 23.25%

Roma	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 58.7%	1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.25%	0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.81% Total : 18.04%