Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Torino |
31.29% ( -0.01) | 28.02% ( 0.67) | 40.69% ( -0.66) |
Both teams to score 46.96% ( -1.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.07% ( -2.45) | 58.93% ( 2.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.58% ( -1.94) | 79.42% ( 1.94) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.59% ( -1.29) | 34.41% ( 1.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.88% ( -1.4) | 71.12% ( 1.4) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.59% ( -1.52) | 28.41% ( 1.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.84% ( -1.96) | 64.16% ( 1.96) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.26% Total : 31.28% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.87) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.72% Total : 40.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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