Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Genoa |
43.95% | 26.92% | 29.13% |
Both teams to score 49.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.34% | 55.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.19% | 76.8% |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.84% | 25.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.13% | 59.87% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.71% | 34.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.01% | 70.98% |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 11.9% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 8.21% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.95% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |