Serie B

May 27, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Sant'Elia

Cagliari
2 - 1
Venezia

Lapadula (14', 18')
Kourfalidis (90+4'), Dossena (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pierini (52')
Egill Ellertsson (53'), Hristov (79')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cagliari and Venezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Cosenza 0-1 Cagliari
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Venezia

All competitions

Last Game: Parma 2-1 Venezia
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Venezia
55.05% ( 0.26)	24.34% ( -0.21)	20.6% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 48.58% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.63% (

0.74)

52.37% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.94% (

0.64)

74.06% (

-0.64)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.07% (

0.39)

18.92% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.57% (

0.64)

50.43% (

-0.64)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.92% (

0.38)

40.08% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.27% (

0.34)

76.72% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 55.05%

Venezia 20.6%

Draw 24.34%

Cagliari	Draw	Venezia
1-0 @ 12.62% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.05% Total : 55.05%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.34%	0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.31% Total : 20.6%