Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 36

May 12, 2024 at 5pm UK

Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
3 - 1
Antalyaspor

Ngoy (16'), da Costa (37'), Hajradinovic (82' pen.)
Ozcan (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gerxhaliu (90+1')
Sari (80')
Yesilyurt (80')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Antalyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions

Last Game: Istanbul 4-1 Kasimpasa
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Antalyaspor

All competitions

Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-2 Pendikspor
Monday, May 6 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Kasimpasa 2-1 Antalyaspor

Goals have been a huge feature of this fixture of late, and we can see the trend continuing here. We are also backing Kasimpasa to carry the day, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
Kasimpasa	Draw	Antalyaspor
43.74% ( 0.04)	24.65% ( -0.05)	31.61% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.67% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.79% (

0.24)

45.21% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.45% (

0.23)

67.56% (

-0.23)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.25% (

0.12)

20.75% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.62% (

0.19)

53.39% (

-0.18)

Antalyaspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.77% (

0.12)

27.23% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.35% (

0.16)

62.65% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Kasimpasa 43.74%

Antalyaspor 31.61%

Draw 24.64%

Kasimpasa	Draw	Antalyaspor
2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.74%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.64%	1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 31.61%