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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 1
Apr 4, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Docklands Stadium
Sydney FC

Victory
0 - 3
Sydney FC


Kamsoba (14')
Kamsoba (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bobo (42'), Barbarouses (50'), Baumjohann (84' pen.)
McGowan (63')

Preview: Melbourne Victory vs. Sydney FC - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Melbourne Victory play host to Sydney FC on Sunday looking to end their five-match winless streak in the A-League.

While the visitors have improved in recent weeks, they head into this contest on the back of a 1-0 defeat away at third-placed Adelaide United.


Match preview

Melbourne Victory manager Grant Brebner pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Having finished in 11th position last season, supporters of Melbourne Victory would have been optimistic about an improved campaign in 2020-21.

However, Grant Brebner's side now find themselves in bottom spot, having claimed just one point from their most recent five fixtures.

On the plus side, their solitary stalemate came away at leaders Central Coast Mariners last week, holding on for a share of the spoils after their hosts had equalised shortly after the half-hour mark.

For a team who had previously conceded 17 goals in four matches, it represented a significant step in the right direction, both in terms of result and character shown by a backline completely out of form.

Nevertheless, still sitting seven points adrift of 10th place, Brebner's team can ill-afford another setback at the weekend if they want to keep in close proximity to their teams directly above them.

As far as Sydney FC are concerned, the defending champions are desperate to respond to two matches without success, their latest results leaving the club 10 points adrift of the leaders.

With two matches in hand, Steve Corica will not be too concerned at this stage, but they are one more defeat away from potentially dropping down to ninth position.

Sydney have failed to prevail in their last four fixtures on their travels, putting Corica in a position where he may have to reconsider his tactics on away territory.

Corica must also find a regular contributor in the final third with none of this squad scoring more than three goals during the opening 13 fixtures.

Melbourne Victory Australian A-League form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D

Sydney FC Australian A-League form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Sydney FC head coach Steve Corica pictured in December 2020© Reuters

After his side's showing against the Mariners, Brebner will give consideration to naming the same Victory XI for this contest.

However, former Stoke City defender Ryan Shotton made his return from injury in the last game, putting himself into contention for a recall in defence.

Callum McManaman is expected to keep his place in attack after netting his third goal of the season.

Rhyan Grant could be handed a recall to the Sydney starting lineup having served his one-match suspension for five yellow cards.

The 30-year-old is expected to get the nod over Harry Van der Saag, while teenager Patrick Wood could return in attack.

Melbourne Victory possible starting lineup:
Acton; Roux, Ansell, Ryan, Traore; Barnett, Butterfield; McManaman, Brimmer, Kruse; Kamsoba

Sydney FC possible starting lineup:
Redmayne; Grant, McGowan, Wilkinson, King; Caceres, Brattan, Retre, Ninkovic; Wood, Barbarouses


SM words green background

We say: Melbourne Victory 1-2 Sydney FC

On the back of a positive result against the league leaders, Victory will be confident of progressing further on Sunday. However, Sydney look the better equipped to claim maximum points, leading us to predict a narrow win for the mid-table outfit.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 54.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-0 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.


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Sydney FC players pictured in November 2020
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Saturday's A-League predictions including Sydney FC vs. Melbourne Victory
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Group A

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1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
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3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

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3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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