Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Nov 26, 2022 at 8.45pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
2 - 0
Penafiel

Gilberto (55'), Neres (57')
Pinho (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vaz (38'), Freitas (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Taca da Liga clash between Benfica and Penafiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-3 Benfica
Sunday, November 20 at 7pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Penafiel

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Penafiel 1-2 Moreirense
Thursday, November 17 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga

Benfica are currently firing on all cylinders and head into the weekend on a run of nine consecutive victories in all competitions. As Aguias take on a struggling Penafiel side who have failed to win six of their last seven outings and we predict they will cruise to a comfortable victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 88.2%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Penafiel had a probability of 3.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 4-0 (10.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.04%), while for a Penafiel win it was 0-1 (1.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Penafiel
88.2% ( -0.06)	8.49% ( 0.03)	3.3% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 39.05% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.87% (

0.08)

28.13% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.1% (

0.1)

48.9% (

-0.1)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.93% (

4.07% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.9% (

0.01)

17.09% (

-0.01)

Penafiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.7% (

0.23)

59.29% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.71% (

0.12)

90.28% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Benfica 88.19%

Penafiel 3.31%

Draw 8.49%

Benfica	Draw	Penafiel
3-0 @ 13.19% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 7-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.85% Total : 88.19%	1-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.35% Total : 8.49%	0-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 3.31%